There is a tempest brewing about No Estimates. Shim Marom has a post on the subject (An Estimate is Not a Guess) and the prolific Glen Alleman has a number of them (No Estimates of Costs and Schedule?, Estimate Anything, No Estimates Mean Better Estimates?, Why Estimating Is Mandatory, , The Last #NoEstimates Post).
I got my first taste of the No Estimates “movement” from Shim. I believe Shim, Glen, and I are on the same page; the No Estimates “movement” is a folly.
I done some seemingly dangerous things in my life; I’ve worked with plastic explosives and ammunition as a soldier, I’ve jumped parachutes, I’ve climbed waterfall ice. Knowledge and (self) control are essential to these activities; you don’t have the knowledge and self-control you might well die. And you might bring others with you.
I have never entered a project without an estimate; it is just too risky for me. Estimating is not easy but it is mandatory. If your client or your organization enter projects without estimates they are playing a very dangerous game. If you do avoid estimating, you are not knowledgeable enough about the field, you believe that gravity does not apply to you, you are jumping without a parachute, and bad things are going to happen. People probably won’t die but companies might. Good people might lose their livelihood.
I’ll go as far as stating that if you subscribe to the No Estimates “movement” you should stop calling yourself a project manager. If you are a PMP, burn your certificate. Say No to No Estimates (#NoToNoEstimates).
What do you think? As always questions and comments are welcome.
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